当和平的面具碎裂，世界正被拖入战争的深渊。

昨天《纽约时报》发表一篇专栏文章“论战论和岂能系于一人”，(大卫·弗伦奇David French.所写“War and Peace Should Not Rest in One Person’s Hands”)

其中引用1848年美墨战争结束时，时任国会议员亚伯拉罕·林肯的话作结论：

“君主们总是让人民卷入战争，使其贫困不堪，他们通常(即便并非总是)假装战争是为了人民的福祉。我们的制宪会议认为，这是所有君主压迫中最残酷的，因此他们决心制定宪法，确保任何人都不能拥有将这种压迫强加于我们的权力。”

此时此刻，我们身处一个极度危险的历史时刻。

2026年的序幕刚刚拉开，今年也是美国建国250周年，当全人类仍沉浸于新年的期许之中，但白宫的主人却再次举起了染血的屠刀。

1.5万亿美元——这是唐纳德·特朗普为2027年国防预算标出的价格，较2026年暴涨50%，远超其后20国军费总和，堪比冷战时期的军备狂热。

特朗普高倡“踢开联合国，搞和平委员会(Board of Peace)”，这笔巨额军费显然与和平无关。

不久前，美军导弹落向伊朗境内的目标，既打击戒备森严的核设施，军政领导人，也夺走无辜者的生命。残酷的是，百余名无辜的伊朗女学生，在军事行动中沦为牺牲品。她们的书包散落在血泊里，年轻的生命尚未绽放，就被列为“史诗狂怒”战略行动下的“附带损伤”。

我们不支持伊朗当局，亦反对任何神权政治。然而，当霸权的导弹飞向孩童的头颅，当华尔街的军火股因少女的鲜血而飙升，任何尚存良知者都必须说出这句话：我们必须反对特朗普的军国主义!

这并非简单的立场选择，这是人类良知对嗜血资本的宣战。

从“反战”到贩战：一场赤裸的世纪欺骗

时间回到2012年。那时的特朗普仍是一名在社交媒体上高谈阔论的房地产商，屡次抨击奥巴马，警告其勿对叙利亚动武。2016年竞选期间，他将“结束无休止的战争”作为核心承诺，向厌倦了战场梦魇的美国民众宣称：“我会把士兵带回家，我会阻止愚蠢的战争!”

这些话语，比任何剧本都更具欺骗性，互联网是有记忆的，昔日吹嘘特朗普当选是“庶民胜利”，“重利的好过意识形态自由派”的某些人，面对今天的特朗普2.0，就如同上世纪初绥靖法西斯的左右政客一般令人齿冷。

特朗普的第一任期虽未发动大规模地面入侵，却开创了更危险的先例：将暗杀升级为国策。2020年，他公然下令在伊拉克刺杀伊朗将领苏莱曼尼，肆意践踏国际法，以国家恐怖主义取代外交。

而所谓的“特朗普2.0”时代(2025年至今)，那位曾许诺“让美国远离战争”的商人已彻底撕下面具。2026年1月，美军通过内部渗透，特种部队闯入委内瑞拉首都，绑架民选总统马杜罗。此举在拉美点燃怒火，实则是向南半球所有主权国家发出的宣战书。

如今，特朗普矛头指向美帝国近五十年欲除之后快的伊朗。他们高呼“解放”伊朗人民，却用导弹收割这个国家的未来。此种虚伪与残暴，与历史上以“解放”为名的侵略有何本质区别?

达沃斯的微笑与屠夫的账簿：一场全球围猎

若将特朗普视为仅知蛮力的武夫，便低估了他。他是“口蜜腹剑”的当代范本。

2026年1月21日，特朗普现身达沃斯论坛。面对全球精英，他面带微笑，组建“和平委员会”，宣称推动八国和平，获得诺贝尔和平奖也当之无愧。而此时，他一面推动所谓和平谈判，一面对伊朗的军事打击已如箭在弦。这便是特朗普的“谈判艺术”：餐桌之上举杯致意，餐桌之下利刃出鞘。

在达沃斯，他抨击欧洲移民政策，嘲笑其二战表现，甚至羞辱加拿大“依赖美国生存”。与此同时，他的政府在国内正执行美国史上最大规模的驱逐行动。蒙面的联邦执法者在街头无差别盘查，对民众投射催泪瓦斯，明尼苏达两次枪杀普通民众震惊世界。一位老妇遭五名壮汉围殴的画面传遍世界，连华尔街巨头摩根大通首席执行官戴蒙亦公开谴责此类暴行。

这并非偶发，而是美帝国主义面临内外危机正法西斯化的国内预演。法西斯未必需要法外褐衫党上街，它亦可披着法律外衣，通过系统性暴力清除“异己”，以恐惧巩固权力。特朗普正借此路径，妖魔化移民、镇压国内反对，将美国社会推向准军事化深渊。同样，当五角大楼开始审查女兵的“有效性”，当国防部长高喊回归“最高男性标准”，这远不止是性别歧视，更是对军队进行意识形态纯化，将其改造为服务个人野心的私人武装。

三、1.5万亿军费：谁在吸血？

1.5万亿美元的国防预算，意味着什么?它超过全球其余军费开支前二十名国家的总和。它相当于为地球上的每个人——包括饥肠辘辘的非洲儿童——配备200美元的枪弹。

特朗普声称，这笔钱将用于打造“梦想军队”与“金穹”防空系统。实则，这是献给军火巨头的厚礼。雷神、洛克希德·马丁、诺斯罗普·格鲁曼等军工复合体在对外战争中大发其财。资本市场的逻辑冰冷而清晰：战争持续愈久，死亡愈多，股价愈高。那些伊朗女学生的生命，在交易屏上不过是推动股指上涨的数字。

与此同时，美国国内民生正被牺牲。为填补这1.5万亿的窟窿，医疗、教育、对外援助预算面临大幅削减。穷人的救命钱被挪用于制造炸弹，移民儿童在拘留所中病饿而死，而军火高管坐收天价奖金。如此极端对比，彻底揭示出现代资本主义的本质：国家不为人民服务，而为资本服务;当资本需要扩张，人民便被送上祭坛。

四、走向法西斯：“美国优先”即“美国唯一”

特朗普的野心不止于权位或报复，他要重塑世界秩序。从第一任期起，他便接连“退群”。第二任期伊始，他再度威胁退出66个国际组织。当被问及是否应遵守国际法，他的回答令人悚然：“这取决于你对国际法的定义。”换言之：朕即国际法，我的意志便是边界。

其白宫办公厅副主任斯蒂芬·米勒直言不讳：“美国将毫不犹豫动用军事力量捍卫其在西半球的利益。”这不是外交辞令，这是不加掩饰的帝国主义宣言。从巴拿马到海地，从尼加拉瓜到智利，美国在拉美血债未偿，而今又开启新一轮掠夺。特朗普觊觎委内瑞拉的石油、格陵兰的矿产、巴拿马运河的控制权。所谓的“特朗普主义”，实质是升级pro版的“门罗主义”，要求整个美洲乃至世界臣服于美国资本。

这与上世纪三十年代的法西斯扩张何其相似?彼时，希特勒以“生存空间”为借口;今日，特朗普以“梦想军队”为号。彼时，法西斯以重整军备转移经济危机;今日，美国以军工复合体的狂热运转掩盖国内尖锐的阶级矛盾。

法西斯最可怕之处，在于“恶”的弥散性与示范效应，它将国家暴力与民间暴力结合。今日美国，极右翼团体在街头横行，福音派牧师在教堂为战争祈祷，社交媒体煽动仇恨。整个国家正被动员起来，预备一场新的、全球性的种族主义战争。事实上，美国大企业与军方的联盟，正履行着法西斯政权的全部职能。

五、我们必须坚守：良知是不可磨灭的底线

我们不支持伊朗神权政府，正是因为我们深切同情被双重压迫的伊朗人民。四十多年来，伊朗民众活在神权统治的窒息之中：选举被宗教权威操控，女性被迫佩戴头巾伊朗人民数十来年表达与抗议的权利遭暴力镇压，从1979年伊斯兰革命胜利起，左翼和自由派惨遭“伊斯兰战友”的背叛与屠杀;从1999年到去年成千上万伊朗儿女将热血洒在街头。互联网与对外交流被严密过滤，思想自由被无情绞杀。经济上，革命卫队和教士集团上层家族垄断石油、电信等战略行业，官僚腐败横行，青年失业率常年超过20%，而神权高官的子孙却在西方过着奢靡生活。

我们当然应该反对伊朗当局的保守专制，反对一切宗教极端主义。然而，当霸权的屠刀挥向平民，当少女的鲜血浸透课本，我们必须分清受害者与凶手。

特朗普的导弹绝不是解放。他每一次空袭都打着“反对暴政”的旗号，炸死的却是放学路上的少女。他的制裁让进口药品断绝，普通母亲只能眼睁睁看着孩子病亡，而教士集团的黑市生意却愈发红火。更可悲的是，美国的每一次威胁，都成了神权政府加强镇压的借口——“看吧，外部敌人要毁灭我们，任何批评都是背叛”。

伊朗人民需要的不是在一种压迫与另一种压迫之间选择。他们要的是不必躲避道德警察、也不必害怕美国导弹的家园。真正同情伊朗人民需要同时谴责德黑兰的头巾警察和从天空呼啸而来的战斧导弹，既控诉神权的虚伪，也控诉帝国的残暴。

特朗普军国主义并未给伊朗人民带去民主自由，只带来死亡与废墟。他在德黑兰街头投下的炸弹，不会催生玫瑰，只会滋生更深的仇恨与极端，甚至揭开地狱之门，引发不可想象的中东混战。

美帝国主义和特朗普的目标从来不是解放任何民族，而是摧毁一切不屈从美国意志的独立力量。今日，他可以肆意屠戮伊朗与中东人民;明日枪口会转向世界上其他“不听话”的国家，同时也会肆无忌惮面对美国国内人民。

在这弱肉强食的丛林世界中，若无人“Say No”，每个国家、每个民族、包括美国人民自身都可能成为下一个牺牲品。

无需繁复术语便能看清本质：这是贪婪资本对劳动者的围猎。华尔街军火商需要战争消化过剩产能，石油巨头需要颠覆他国以控制能源，极右翼政客需要塑造“外敌”来转移对贫富分化的愤怒。

今天的特朗普当局是这些利益的化身，是美帝国主义衰落前的最后疯狂。他在2016年许诺给“被遗忘的美国人”工作，带来的却是药物泛滥与疫情中的放任死亡;他在2024年承诺停止战争，带给世界的却是1.5万亿军费与满地支离破碎的童尸。

我们必须高声宣告：我们不支持伊朗当局，但我们坚决反对特朗普军国主义!

这并非亲伊朗，而是反战;这并非反美，而是反军国主义、反帝国主义、反人类公敌。任何有良知者，无论来自东方西方，无论信仰为何，在看到那些被炸碎的书包时，都应感到愤怒。

当今世界，正站在命运的十字路口。一侧是军火商与极端民族主义定义的黑暗深渊，另一侧是重返人类基本文明的微弱曙光。

我们必须选择后者——不为任何盘剥政权背书，而为人类的基本权利与未来呼吁。当军国主义的铁蹄踏响街道，当战争的机器碾过家园，无人能够幸免。

打倒美帝国主义!

打倒特朗普军国主义!

让母亲不再失去孩子!

让伊朗人民自己决定自己的前途与命运!

让鲜血停止为金元资本而流!

*本文参考CNN、美联社、俄罗斯今日等媒体，并利用AI搜索和整合相关资料，请谨慎参考

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What substantive difference exists between this hypocrisy and brutality and the previous invasions carried out in the name of "liberation"?The smile in Davos and the Butcher's Ledger: A Global HuntTo see Trump as merely a brute force would be to underestimate him. He is a contemporary master of the honeyed tongue and the hidden dagger.On January 21, 2026, Trump appeared at the Davos forum. Smiling at the global elite, he announced the formation of a "Board of Peace," spoke of brokering peace involving eight nations, and self-claim he deserved a Nobel Peace Prize. All the while, military strikes against Iran were imminent. This is Trump's "art of the deal": toasting at the table while unsheathing the blade beneath it.In Davos, he attacked European immigration policies, mocked their WWII performance, and even insulted Canada as "dependent on the US for survival." Simultaneously, his administration was executing the largest mass deportation in US history. Masked ICE agents conducted indiscriminate street checks, fired tear gas at citizens, and shot two ordinary US dead in Minnesota. Images of an elderly woman beaten by five men circulated globally, drawing public condemnation even from Wall Street mogulJamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase.

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Similarly, when the Pentagon begins questioning the "effectiveness" of female soldiers, and the Defence Secretary calls for a return to "maximum masculine standards," it transcends mere sexism. It's an ideological purification of the military, reshaping it into a private army serving personal ambition.$1.5 Trillion for Defence: Who benefit and who suffer ?What does a $1.5 trillion defence budget actually mean? It exceeds the combined military spending of the next twenty nations. It equates to providing $200 worth of bullets for every person on Earth—including every starving kid in Africa.Trump claims this money will build a "dream military" and a "Golden Dome" missile defence system. In reality, it is a lavish gift to defence contractors. Conglomerates like Raytheon, Lockheed Martin, and Northrop Grumman flourish on foreign war. The logic of capital markets is brutally clear: the longer the conflict, the higher the death toll, the higher the share price. The lives of those Iranian schoolgirls are merely numbers on a screen, fuelling an index rally.Meanwhile, the welfare of ordinary Americans is being sacrificed. To fund this $1.5 trillion black hole, budgets for healthcare, education, and foreign aid face drastic cuts. Money meant to save the poor is diverted to build bombs. Migrant children die from illness and neglect in detention centres, while defence executives collect record bonuses. This stark contrast lays bare the core of modern capitalism: the state serves not its people, but capital; and when capital demands expansion, the people are placed on the altar.Towards Fascism: "America First" as "America Only"Trump's ambition extends beyond power or retribution; he seeks to reshape the world order. From his first term, he systematically withdrew from international agreements. At the start of his second, he again threatened to leave 66 international organisations. 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The alliance between American big business and the military is, in effect, fulfilling all the functions of a fascist regime.We Must Oppose the War: Human conscience is the Indelible LineWe do not support Iran's theocratic government precisely because we deeply solidarity with the Iranian people, doubly oppressed.For over forty years, Iranians have lived under the suffocating of theocratic rule: elections controlled by religious authorities, women forced to wear the hijab, and the suppression of protest—from the leftists and liberals. The betrayed clerics after the 1979 mass revolution evily detroyed countless young men and women, whose bloods spill on the streets from 1970s to just last year. The internet and foreign contact are tightly filtered, intellectual freedom strangled. Economically, the Revolutionary Guard and clerical elite monopolise oil and telecommunications, and corruption is deeply rooted in the government and the society. The youth unemployment chronically exceeds 20%, while the children of high-ranking clerics live opulently in the West.We should, of course, oppose the conservative authoritarianism of the Iranian regime and all forms of religious extremism. However, when the hegemon's sword falls on civilians, when young girls' blood soaks her textbooks, we must distinguish between victims and murders.Trump's missiles are not liberation. His air strikes, launched under the banner of "opposing tyranny," kill schoolgirls. His sanctions cut off essential medicine, forcing mothers to watch their children die, while the clerical regime's black market thrives. More tragically, each American threatc provides the theocracy with an excuse to intensify repression: "Look, the external enemy wants to destroy us; any criticism is betrayal."The Iranian people do not need to choose between one oppression and another. They need a homeland where they need not fear both the morality police and American missiles. True sympathy for Iranians requires condemning both the headscarf patrols in Tehran and the Tomahawk missiles screaming from the sky—denouncing both the hypocrisy of theocracy and the brutality of US empire.Trump's militarism brings no democracy or freedom to Iranians, only death and rubble. The bombs he drops on Tehran's streets will not cultivate roses, but only deeper hatred and extremism, potentially opening a gateway to hell, an unimaginable Middle Eastern conflagration.The goal of American imperialism and Donald Trump has never been to liberate any nation, but to destroy any independent force that refuses to bend to Washington's will. Today, he can slaughter the people of Iran and the Middle East with impunity; tomorrow, the gun will turn on other "disobedient" nations, and eventually, on the American people themselves.In this brutal, Darwinian world, if no one says "No," every nation, every people—including the American people—could become the next sacrifice.No complex terminology is needed to analyseb the truth: this is rapacious capital hunting the worker. Wall Street arms dealers need war to absorb overcapacity, oil giants need to overthrow other states to control energy supplies, and far-right politicians need "foreign enemies" to deflect anger over widening class inequality.The current Trump administration embodies these interests; it is the final, desperate thrash of a declining American empire. In 2016, he promised jobs to "forgotten Americans," ,but delivering instead drug epidemics and deaths during a pandemic. In 2024, he promised to stop wars, delivering instead a $1.5 trillion military budget and a world strewn with the broken bodies of children.We must declare loudly: We do not support the Iranian authorities, but we resolutely oppose Trump's militarism!This is not being pro-Iran; it is being anti-war. This is not being anti-American; it is being anti-militarist, anti-imperialist, anti-enemies of all humanity. Anyone with a conscience, from East or West, of any faith, should feel rage when seeing those shattered schoolbags.The world today stands at a crossroads. One path leads to the dark abyss defined by arms dealers and ultranationalists. The other offers the faint glimmer of a return to basic human civilisation.We must choose the latter—not to endorse any oppressive regime, but to appeal for fundamental human basic rights and a shared future. When the jackboot of militarism thunders on the streets, when the machinery of war crushes homes, no one will be spared.Down with American imperialism!Down with Trump's militarism!Let mothers no longer lose their children!Let the Iranian people decide their own future!No the bloodshed for the sake of capitalism!This article references CNN, the Associated Press, Russia Today, and other media, and uses AI to improve search and information checking. The English version is translated by the AIs.